Boys - Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2002 - 2003 - 2004



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Alan Hiner 12 Fremont 15:50 #3  
2  Luke Stoffel 12 Wawasee 16:00 #9  
3  Kyle Walsh 12 Western 16:01 #11  
4  Ken Collins 11 Northridge 16:05 #15  
5  Adam Lenz 9 Blackford 16:11 #20  
6  Brennon Plotner 12 Northrop 16:12 #22  
7  Troy Hileman 12 New Haven 16:19 #34  
8  Bobby Moldovan 9 Northrop 16:19 #35  
9  Dustin Rose 12 Oak Hill 16:22 #37  
10  Braxton Fritz 11 Northridge 16:24 #39  
11  Joel Liechty 11 East Noble 16:25 #41  
12  Nate Luebke 10 New Haven 16:27 #45  
13  Chris Gaffer 12 Northrop 16:27 #47  
14  Matt Ingalls 12 Columbia City 16:28 #49  
15  Trevor Hughes 12 Huntington North 16:28 #50  
16  Randy Placencia 10 Garrett 16:31 #56  
17  David Andrews 12 Richmond 16:32 #59  
18  Kyle Stairs 12 Leo 16:33 #60  
19  Nick Johnson 11 Huntington North 16:34 #62  
20  Ben Brinker 12 Burris 16:35 #66  
21  Corey Koch 11 Lakeland 16:35 #68  
22  Elias Rojas 12 West Noble 16:35 #71  
23  Andy Hesterman 11 Concordia Lutheran 16:38 #81  
24  Josh Foss 11 Marion 16:38 #82  
25  Jim Jackson 12 Western 16:39 #85  
26  Jack Shrader 10 Blackford 16:40 #87  
27  Tim Quandt 12 Northrop 16:41 #90  
28  Nick Ochs 11 Huntington North 16:43 #97  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
1  Northrop Bellmont 254 #3  
2  Huntington North Marion 297 #6  
3  Northridge Elkhart Central 355 #12  
4  Snider Bellmont 404 #16  
5  Concordia Lutheran Bellmont 406 #18  
6  West Noble Elkhart Central 418 #23  
7  Burris Delta 469 #31  
8  Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 488 #35  
9  Blackford Bellmont 494 #36  
10  Oak Hill Marion 514 #39  

Other unranked teams:
Marion Marion 552
East Noble Elkhart Central 576



Semi-State Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Northrop 100.0% 1.4 64 16 172 70.4 24.1 4.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
Huntington North 100.0% 2.0 83 18 203 26.3 55.3 11.9 3.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Northridge 100.0% 3.8 127 46 212 1.4 9.1 39.5 25.3 13.9 6.2 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
Snider 100.0% 5.4 152 52 268 0.8 4.7 14.6 21.1 17.9 13.9 9.2 7.2 4.9 3.3 1.8 0.8
Concordia Lutheran 100.0% 5.6 155 38 281 0.7 3.6 14.2 17.7 17.5 14.4 11.2 8.0 5.6 3.7 2.4 1.2
West Noble 100.0% 5.9 160 60 276 0.4 2.5 11.2 16.7 18.4 15.4 12.1 9.0 6.6 4.5 2.4 1.0
Burris 100.0% 7.4 182 84 286 0.0 0.4 2.3 6.2 11.5 15.9 17.6 15.0 12.4 9.6 5.8 3.4
Blackford 100.0% 7.9 188 117 277 0.0 0.4 2.5 7.3 13.7 18.6 20.8 17.1 11.3 6.0 2.5
Oak Hill 100.0% 8.9 202 95 285 0.1 0.8 1.7 4.1 7.4 10.9 13.4 17.5 18.0 16.1 10.2
Elkhart Memorial 100.0% 8.8 202 87 307 0.2 1.3 3.3 5.7 8.5 9.5 12.2 14.0 15.2 16.0 14.1
Marion 100.0% 10.1 220 114 308 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.0 5.5 8.3 12.5 18.2 24.0 26.5
East Noble 100.0% 10.7 229 128 317 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.9 9.0 16.0 25.6 40.4


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Alan Hiner Fremont 15:50 100.0% 1.0 52.2 22.5 11.4 6.3 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Luke Stoffel Wawasee 16:00 100.0% 2.5 17.5 22.5 19.3 12.6 8.7 5.9 3.8 2.8 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kyle Walsh Western 16:01 100.0% 2.7 15.7 21.6 19.0 13.9 9.5 6.4 3.9 2.9 2.0 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ken Collins Northridge 16:05 100.0% 3.8 7.7 13.7 16.4 15.1 12.2 8.9 6.9 5.3 3.8 2.6 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2
Adam Lenz Blackford 16:11 100.0% 5.7 2.6 6.9 9.4 11.9 11.9 10.2 8.5 7.3 5.9 4.8 4.1 3.3 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.6
Brennon Plotner Northrop 16:12 100.0% 5.7 2.8 5.9 9.4 12.2 12.4 11.0 9.3 7.5 6.0 4.7 3.8 3.2 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5
Troy Hileman New Haven 16:19 100.0% 9.3 0.4 1.6 3.2 5.3 6.9 7.8 8.2 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.3 5.6 4.8 4.4 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.3 2.3 1.6
Bobby Moldovan Northrop 16:19 100.0% 9.2 0.3 1.3 2.7 4.7 6.4 8.6 8.7 7.9 8.4 7.3 6.7 5.5 4.8 4.4 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.3
Dustin Rose Oak Hill 16:22 100.0% 10.6 0.4 1.3 2.2 4.1 5.4 6.3 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.7 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.5 4.3 3.9 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.5
Braxton Fritz Northridge 16:24 100.0% 12.2 0.4 1.1 2.3 3.9 5.2 5.4 6.4 6.5 6.2 6.3 5.5 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.5 4.1 3.6 3.3 2.9
Joel Liechty East Noble 16:25 100.0% 12.5 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.6 3.4 4.7 5.5 6.0 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.1 5.3 5.3 4.3 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.0
Nate Luebke New Haven 16:27 99.6% 13.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.4 4.4 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.5
Chris Gaffer Northrop 16:27 100.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.5 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.1 5.1 4.4 4.0 4.2 3.4
Matt Ingalls Columbia City 16:28 100.0% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.3 3.4 3.9 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.7 3.9 3.7
Trevor Hughes Huntington North 16:28 100.0% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.4 4.4 4.1 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.1
Randy Placencia Garrett 16:31 99.6% 17.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.3 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.3 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.3
David Andrews Richmond 16:32 100.0% 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.0 4.5 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.3
Kyle Stairs Leo 16:33 98.7% 19.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.1 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.4
Nick Johnson Huntington North 16:34 100.0% 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.8 4.8 4.7
Ben Brinker Burris 16:35 100.0% 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.2 3.3 3.9 4.3 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.1 4.6
Corey Koch Lakeland 16:35 99.0% 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.0
Elias Rojas West Noble 16:35 100.0% 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.7 4.2 4.3
Andy Hesterman Concordia Lutheran 16:38 100.0% 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.5 4.0 3.6 4.2
Josh Foss Marion 16:38 100.0% 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.8 4.4
Jim Jackson Western 16:39 99.7% 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 4.1
Jack Shrader Blackford 16:40 100.0% 24.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.5
Tim Quandt Northrop 16:41 100.0% 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.5
Nick Ochs Huntington North 16:43 100.0% 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.6 2.2 2.8 2.8